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The S & P 500 broke past 5,000 for the first time ever this week, but investors will see if the momentum can stick in the week ahead with more inflation data and earnings results on deck. On Friday, both the S & P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were headed for their fifth straight week of gains, and their 14th winning week in 15. FactSet data shows S & P 500 earnings are tracking to have risen 2.8% in the fourth quarter, which would be a second straight quarter of earnings growth, and some expect that positive momentum will remain intact in the weeks ahead. A cooler-than-expected print has the potential to be greeted with enthusiasm, sending the S & P 500 even higher. The S & P 500 is up by 5% this year, with Nvidia higher by more than 40%.
Persons: Jeremy Siegel, CNBC's, Siegel, Karim El Nokali, we've, Tony Welch, Dow, SignatureFD's Welch, there's, Welch, Russell, Jason Hunter, that's, Hunter, Matt Kishlansky, Biogen, Kraft Heinz, Generac Organizations: Treasury, Wharton Business, Nasdaq, Arista Networks, Marriott International, Occidental Petroleum, Deere, Applied Materials, Dow Jones, Wall, Nvidia, Arm Holdings, JPMorgan, New York Community Bancorp, Federal Reserve, Treasury Budget, Waste, CPI, MGM Resorts International, Akamai Technologies, Howmet Aerospace, Molson Coors Beverage, Hasbro, Price, Index, Philadelphia Fed, Retail, Manufacturing, Housing, PPI Locations: SignatureFD, U.S, Long, GenTrust, Albemarle, NAHB, Michigan
Wall Street is headed into the thick of earnings season, with results on deck from the bulk of the so-called Magnificent Seven names. On top of that, the Federal Reserve's latest monetary policy decision and the January jobs report will be in focus. Federal Reserve meeting Investors aren't anticipating much out of the Fed meeting next week. Market participants say recent reports show the trends have been going in the right direction, and Friday's report is expected to confirm the softening in the jobs market. Other significant earnings in the week ahead include Boeing , a major Dow component.
Persons: Russell, we've, Shannon Saccocia, Jonathan Krinsky, Tesla, that'll, Hogan, you've, John Bailer, Jerome Powell, Tony Welch, Welch, FactSet Organizations: Microsoft, Nvidia, Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Dow, JPMorgan, Riley Securities, Newton Investment Management, Fed, PCE, Boeing, Alaska Airlines, Dallas, Whirlpool, Petroleum, United Parcel Service, General Motors, Pfizer, Devices, ADP, ECI Civilian Workers, Chicago PMI, Mastercard, Qualcomm, Labor, PMI, Manufacturing, Apple, Chevron, Exxon Mobil Locations: Thursday's, nonfarm payrolls, Chicago, Royal Caribbean, Michigan
The consumer price index for October showed inflation at a 3.2% level, while the producer price index came in with an annual rate of 1.3%. Perhaps the most interesting and relevant facts about inflation are that the overall number means little to the average person. “Although the overall consumer price level was flat in October, shelter inflation continued,” said Danielle Hale, chief economist for Realtor.com. Overall inflation among select urban areas was highest in the Miami to West Palm Beach corridor, up by 7.4% in October. Their inflation rate was 1.1%.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Richard McPhail, Doug McMillon, McMillon, , Kayla Bruun, Joe Biden, PublicSquare, Tony Welch, Danielle Hale, Shawn Ashworth, Ashworth, Maxx, Jeff Bezos Organizations: Federal, Walmart, New York Jets, Realtor.com, Berkeley Research, Goods, Auto Locations: U.S, , Florida, Miami, West Palm, Anchorage , Alaska
For the week, the S&P 500 gained 5.9%, for its biggest gain since November 2022 and Nasdaq added 6.6%, also showing its biggest gain since Nov. 2022. The Dow showed a weekly gain of 5.1%, its biggest since late October 2022. The jobs data also helped push U.S. Treasury yields lower for the fourth consecutive session. Most of the 11 major S&P 500 sectors advanced, led by rate-sensitive real estate (.SPLRCR), which finished up 2.4%, after hitting its highest since late September. The S&P 500 posted 20 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 77 new lows.
Persons: Brendan McDermid, nonfarm, Matt Palazzolo, Palazzolo, Dow, Tony Welch, Russell, SignatureFD's Welch, Welch, Sinéad Carew, Amruta, Sriraj Kalluvila, Maju Samuel, David Gregorio Our Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Apple, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal, Labor, Big, Bernstein Private Wealth Management, Fed, Dow Jones, Treasury, SignatureFD, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, Atlanta Georgia, New York
Israel responded with a declaration of war and a strong military response in the Gaza Strip, home to 2 million Palestinians. President Joe Biden ordered a U.S. naval carrier strike group to the region after pledging full support to Israel. Biden on Sunday spoke with Benjamin Netanyahu, the Israeli prime minister, and pledged the full support of the U.S., including military assistance. “Geopolitical risks are back in focus amid the attack in Israel on Saturday,” said James Demmert, chief investment officer at Main Street Research. Key data on U.S. inflation is due to be released Wednesday with the producer price index and then Thursday with the consumer price index.
Persons: Joe Biden, Yoav Gallant, Biden, Benjamin Netanyahu, , James Demmert, Tony Welch, “ It’s, Dan Swan, Swan, ” Swan, , Kevin McCarthy Organizations: Israeli, Main, Research, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Fed, McKinsey, “ Airlines, Rep Locations: Israel, Gaza, U.S, New York, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Washington
The dollar index , which measures the currency's strength against a basket of six rivals, was down 0.31 % to 106.03 . The index rose as high as 106.98 earlier in the session after data showed U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by 336,000 jobs last month. The numbers for August were revised higher to show 227,000 jobs added instead of the previously reported 187,000. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast September payrolls rising by 170,000 jobs. The payrolls data showed monthly wage growth remained moderate, with average hourly earnings rising 0.2% after a similar gain in August.
Persons: Dado Ruvic, nonfarm, Karl Schamotta, Tony Welch, Helen, Corpay's Schamotta, Saqib Iqbal Ahmed, Gertrude Chavez, Dreyfuss, Chuck Mikolajczak, Rae Wee, Alun John, Marguerita Choy, Susan Fenton, Andrew Heavens Organizations: REUTERS, U.S, Reuters, Thomson Locations: U.S, Toronto, Atlanta, New York, Singapore, London
Employers added 187,000 jobs in August, above expectations and in line with a labor market that is rebalancing back to normal, the Labor Department reported on Friday. Other labor market data released this week showed a gradual softening of demand for workers from employers. And private payroll firm ADP’s monthly jobs survey for August found employers added 177,000 jobs in the month, below expectations. “Clearly, the labor market is softening,” says Tony Welch, chief investment officer at Signature FD. The downshift reverses a period of high growth for the labor market coming out of the pandemic.
Persons: , Venkat Balakrishnan, Scott Hamilton, Tony Welch Organizations: Labor Department, Federal Reserve, Resources, Compensation Consulting Locations: Washington
Investors will get another clue when the January jobs report is released on Friday. Economists predict that 185,000 jobs were added last month, a slowdown from the gain of 223,000 jobs in December and 263,000 in November. A further deceleration in the labor market would likely please the Fed, as it would show that last year’s rate hikes are successfully taking some air out of the economy. Along those lines, average hourly earnings, a measure of wages that is also part of the monthly jobs report, are expected to increase 4.3% year-over year. So far, tech earnings season is not off to an inspiring start, with Microsoft (MSFT), Intel (INTC) and IBM (IBM) all reporting weak results.
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